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The McCarthy Interview

Spring is sprung, the grass has rizz…

 

Spring heralds the start of a new housing season, and those ready to make a move will find it to be a buyers’ market.

Spring has sprung
The grass has rizz
I wonder where
The flowers is.
– Melvin Hergenroter.

It’s springtime! The days are getting warmer, and longer, and while there’s still a nip in the air, nature is on the move. Green shoots and new leaves are signs of the budding growth underway. It’s time to waken from the dormancy of winter. Stretch, rise and shine, as a new season of growth and opportunity awaits.

In the property market, spring is traditionally when the starter’s gun is fired to bring on the new season. 2010 is set to be no different, with plenty of properties lined up for sale, while the auctioneers gargle and tune their throats for the busy period ahead.

What can you expect to find this spring?

In our view, you are going to see a real buyer’s market that has its origins in:

  1. A steady reduction in the number of home loans granted over the past 12 months
  2. A corresponding increase in the number of properties available for sale
  3. Mortgage rates that have climbed by 2% over the past year
  4. The winding down of government stimulus
  5. Flat business profits
  6. Uncertainty regarding the state of the world economy
  7. A flattening of property price growth after a hectic ride through the GFC
  8. Uncertainty in the wake of the 2010 election

However, does this not spell ‘opportunity?’ In your opinion, when is it the best time to buy property? When buyers are jumping over each other and outbidding one another to buy anything, at any price. Or in circumstances like we are likely to find this spring, when all the pent-up demand and emotion have been stilled by the factors mentioned above, and when you can shop around and negotiate good deals on the property of your choice, and the mortgage that goes with it?

For a clue, look to those investors buying investment property right now. Loans to investors are at three-year highs, and almost one in three property sales is to an investor. In contrast, first-time buyers have retreated to the sidelines.

So while we have a buyer’s market, with smart investors at the front of the queue of those who are buying, have the fundamentals of property changed in any way?

Again, in our view, the answer is a resounding ‘No.’

We are still:

  • Short of 200,000 housing units nationally, which shortage will continue to grow
  • Jobs growth is extremely strong
  • Unemployment is at near historic lows
  • We will see still welcome high numbers of new migrants
  • There won’t be any changes to the attractiveness of investor tax benefits such as depreciation allowances and negative gearing
  • Owning your own property remains a cornerstone dream in the Australian psyche.

So this spring, why not rise up from winter’s slumber, and embrace the season of new growth and opportunity. You’ll find conditions to be mild and pleasant, and ideal for planning and implementing an investment property strategy that can help provide for your future needs.

If you would like to learn more and discuss how McCarthy Group can assist you, click here.