Picture a herd of zebras crossing the
plains, a paddling of ducks skimming across
the water, a shoal of fish swerving their
way through the ocean. What do these all
have in common? They are all following
what is called ‘herd behaviour.’
They are sticking together.
It could be part of a safety mechanism,
where an individual in the group reduces
its risk by staying as close as possible
to its centre. However, this can also
lead to panic, when danger is sensed and
emotions quickly feed off each other.
There is sudden evasive action, and fear
and anxiety increase rapidly.
The human equivalent of this is called
the ‘herd mentality,’ which
Wikipedia describes as where “individuals
in a group can act together without planned
direction.” This behaviour can occur
in street demonstrations, at sporting
events, and every day decision-making.
It is very noticeable in sharemarket
investing, where bubbles and crashes are
triggered by individuals reacting to situations
and driven by emotions of either fear
or greed. The results spread rapidly through
the group, and lead to more and more of
the same behaviour.
Have you ever felt rising fear, which
then grows when you see how others are
reacting to a risky situation? Or have
you ever been lured into what looks like
winning ‘get rich quick’ investment
schemes, which are justified by the spruikers
based on out-sized returns. This is how
‘Ponzi schemes’ grow, with
gullible investors getting caught up by
hopes of super-sized returns on investments.
As the saying goes, “If something
looks too good to be true, it probably
is!” Put differently, as an investor,
you need to invest with your head, and
not your heart.
Sun Tzu, the famous military strategist,
once said: “To see victory only
when it is within the knowledge of the
common herd is not the acme of excellence.”
What does this mean for investing? Simply
that if you follow the bull runs or the
bear runs in the sharemarket, you will
only do as well or as badly as the rest.
The same holds true for property. To succeed
in investing, timing is everything, and
the best returns come from investing near
the bottom of the cycle, and (if you do
sell), selling near the top.
What does this mean for you as an individual?
Simply that you need to be aware of the
up or down ‘runs’ and see
them for what they are; symptoms of the
herd mentality at work, with real dangers
in simply following the herd. Sheep behave
like this. So do lemmings, and you know
what happens to them!
Successful investors succeed through
overcoming the fears that might hold the
majority of people back. They also avoid
the lure of investing in situations where
the market is red-hot.
What do you do if you don’t have
the confidence in where to invest, or
when, or how?
The answer is that ‘Success leaves
clues”. Many successful investors
have trodden this path before you, and
their strategy and approach can be learned
through working with experts in the field.
McCarthy Group is one such source of
expert knowledge in the field of investment
property, with an 11 year track record
of success for hundreds of Australian
families. Our investment strategies are
based on bricks and mortar, and our knowledge
of investment property ensures that our
clients avoid the pitfalls of blindly
following the herd.
If you would like to learn more and discuss
how McCarthy Group can assist you, click
here.
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