This is another topic with which Freedom
News readers will be very familiar, as
it is a subject that confirms the logic
of investment property as a sound investment
idea in providing for a financially comfortable
retirement. We will quote extracts from
an article that appeared in The Australian
Financial Review on Thursday 11 March,
2010.
“The Reserve Bank of Australia
has warned that house prices and rents
could surge as the resources boom intensifies
the stain on the economy’s capacity
and exacerbates the housing shortage”.
“RBA assistant governor Phillip
Lowe said yesterday more needed to be
done to tackle planning shortcomings and
looming skill shortages that will hamper
the supply of new houses”.
“A lack of planning, materials
and skilled labour is threatening the
supply of housing” (picture caption).
“We face the significant challenge
of increasing the supply of housing at
a time when business investment is also
very high”.
“Mr Lowe said if there was a failure
to increase the supply of homes by building
smaller houses or investing more in housing
construction, ‘further adjustment
in housing prices and rent is likely to
occur to balance supply and demand’”.
The article continues and highlights
the dramatic fall in mortgages granted
to first home buyers and owner occupiers
in the wake of recent interest rate increases.
The key issue is that the supply of housing
is being constrained on one hand by the
slow planning process and the significant
costs associated with new release and
land developments, and on the other, by
the strict approach taken by banks to
lending. The absolute dominance of the
Big Four banks and the absence of smaller
competitors means that the banks’
word is law, and at the moment, the word
is, “Credit granting is severely
restricted”.
There are two issues of comfort here
for investors who look to gain from the
current situation. Firstly, the housing
shortage is not going to go away anytime
soon. If anything, the undersupply will
get worse and worse, as immigrants arrive
in great numbers to fill the skills hole
in our growing economy. What this means
is strong growth in property values, and
strong growth in rentals, thus proving
McCarthy Group’s formula.
Secondly, if you have equity in your
family home to use as a deposit on an
investment property, not only do you not
need any fresh cash, but the banks will
be far more open to granting you credit
as the 80 or 90 per cent of the amount
required can then be secured against the
value of the new property. (Other conditions,
however, will still need to be met, eg.
an income that supports that level of
borrowing, a good credit record etc).
The bottom line is that the RBA itself
is confirming everything we have been
saying at McCarthy Group: there is a strong
and growing imbalance between the supply
of housing and demand. This is bad news
for some, but great news for property
investors.
If you would like to learn more and
discuss how McCarthy Group can assist
you, click
here.
Rollins, R. 2010, ’RBA warns
of housing shortage’, The Australian
Financial Review, Thursday 11 March
2010, p1
|