What an awful acronym: PIGS –
standing for Portugal, Italy, Greece and
Spain – the ‘Club Med’
countries that have been at the centre
of a month’s chaos and volatility
in global share markets, and that dragged
Australian shares down with it.
What’s really been happening is
that after national reserve banks around
the world pumped money into their economies
to save troubled companies and banks to
keep their economies flowing, the debt
problem surfaced at a country level.
Greece has been the first to stick its
hand up as a government owning up to the
fact that their budget deficit was greater
than their ability to meet it. There are
many other countries standing in line
as well.
The negative events that have pummelled
the stock markets were recently summarised
by CommSec as follows:
- The Greek debt crisis and worries
about other Euro countries
- Rating downgrades for Portugal
- The volcanic ash cloud across Europe
and disruption and losses as a result
- A major oil spill in the Gulf of
Mexico
- Criminal proceedings against Goldman
Sachs
- Political uncertainty in the UK
- Social unrest in Thailand
- A resource super profits tax (RSPT)
in Australia
- Fears of a property crash in China
- The Blues losing State of Origin
1 (Joke! – this was probably expected!)
The sell-off has hit Australia, despite
our strong economy, due to worries about
China, and of course the now famous Resources
Super Profits Tax proposal, which couldn’t
have come at a worse time for the Rudd
government. This has led to the worst
May performance in the Australian sharemarket
since 1984, with the S&P / ASX 200
Index losing almost 8% in value. Ouch!
So what do you make of it all? Should
you stay in the sharemarket? Or get back
into it after this latest pull back?
I wouldn’t like to advise you in
this regard. All that I can say is that
with exactly the same set of events going
on around the world, I haven’t seen
any sign of damage to the Australian property
market. I expect property prices to remain
stable, and continue to increase slowly
but surely over time. This is where I
will personally be looking to invest,
as I don’t have the stomach for
the sharemarket roller-coaster ride that
I see out there.
After all, it’s only the smallest
of the ‘PIGS’ that has caused
such mayhem and investor losses. I’d
hate to think of what happens when a Porky
Pig breaks out!
I am not in a position to know what’s
hiding under the covers in Euroland, or
the US or Japan for that matter –
so I’ll simply stick to what I know,
and what’s served us well through
good times and bad. Property.
At least I know that property investments
are based on something tangible and scarce
– developed land – and that
they have tangible structures built on
them, made of bricks and mortar.
Finally, I know that there aren’t
enough properties to satisfy demand, which
is the major reason why the market has
a stable base, and why we don’t
see such volatility in the property market.
Where do you plan to invest for your
future? In the sharemarket? Or property?
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