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Statistics show that our population
is growing at an unprecedented level,
and at twice the rate of the global average.
Having reached 22 million last year, the
population grew at 2.1 per cent, or 440,000
people in the year to September 2009.
That is faster than Malaysia, Philippines,
India, Indonesia and Vietnam. In comparison,
the world population is growing at 1.1
per cent.
This can mean great opportunities, particularly
in the residential property market. Of
course, everyone needs to be housed! There
are also plenty of risks, with many people
feeling uncomfortable about how sustainable
our country is as we march towards a projected
population of 35 million by 2050.
The numbers stack up as follows:
- 1 birth every 1 minute and 46 seconds,
- 1 death every 3 minutes and 42 seconds,
- a net gain of 1 international migrant
every 1 minute and 46 seconds,leading
to,
- an overall total population
increase of one person every 1 minute
and 1 seconds.
There are plenty of political implications
in this, and the media is full of stories
about the lack of planning in the major
cities, the high immigration rate, the
foreign student visa issues, and of course
the illegal boat arrivals. In fact, for
the first time in history, the Prime Minister
has recently appointed Tony Burke as the
Minister for Population, whose first task
is to develop Australia’s first
comprehensive Population Strategy.
Have you thought about how you might
benefit from this shift in our demographic
landscape? One obvious answer is that
with an exploding population, housing
demand will increase dramatically, as
everyone will need a place to stay.
Using the accepted yardstick of 3 people
per family unit, simple maths suggests
that a new home needs to be completed
every 3 minutes, or 20 per hour. This
translates to 480 a day, which means 175,200
a year!
If that’s the demand side, what
does the supply side look like? The simple
answer is woeful, and annual housing starts
are actually declining in the face of
the increasing demand.
As supply tightens, rents will increase,
as will property prices. This is a basic
economic fact, and it is the major reason
why property investors are back in the
market in such numbers.
Investors have realised that rather being
part of the solution, the federal and
state governments are a big part of the
problem. The slow release of land coupled
with high taxes and levies means that
there is an inadequate supply of new land
on which to build. Investors expect that
little will change in housing supply terms,
despite all the political talk. They are
therefore taking advantage of the excellent
opportunity on offer.
If you decided today to build a new investment
property, by the time it was completed
(a typical project takes about 9 months),
the population would have grown by about
390,000, meaning additional demand for
almost 130,000 new homes!
With the already existing backlog of
190,000 homes, which is growing by 30,000
to 40,000 each year, do you think you’d
find a tenant to lease it? In addition,
do you think its value would keep rising
due to the imbalance in supply and demand?
The bottom line is that if you aren’t
capitalising on this huge shift in our
population by getting involved in the
investment property needed to house it,
you could be missing a perfect opportunity
to set yourself up for the future.
Smart investors are out there every minute
of every day, thriving on the exploding
demand for accommodation. Why not you?
If you would like to learn more and discuss
how McCarthy Group can assist you, click
here.
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